Branislav Notaros
Colorado State University-Fort Collins, CO·Engineering
Two threads run through this lab's work, and both come down to describing complicated physical things accurately with numbers. One thread is snow: snowflakes vary enormously in shape, size, density and internal structure, and that variability is what makes snowfall hard to measure with weather radar or predict with forecast models.
- Fields
Engineering
Earth & Environmental Science
Mathematics & Statistics
- Topics
snowflakes
snowfall
winter precipitation
- Grants
- 4 known grants, through Mar 2028
What they work on
- Develop an artificial intelligence and machine learning method that automatically classifies winter hydrometeors into predefined categories from simultaneous multiview camera images of snowflakes.
- Build the Multicamera Snowflake Profiler, a multicamera instrument that images snowflakes in freefall and performs 3D shape reconstruction and classification on site in real time, and compile results into the Snowflake World Bank database.
- Improve characterization of ice particle geometry, size distributions from 100 microns to over 20 mm, fall speeds and effective density by combining the Precipitation Instrument Package, 2D-video disdrometers, a 5-camera multi-angle snowflake camera and the student-built 7-camera Snowflake Measurement and Analysis System.
- Test how particle-turbulence interaction in natural snowfall alters fall speed and effective density, using two 2D-video disdrometers and 3D sonic anemometers placed inside and outside a double-fence windshield.
- Evaluate closure by comparing best estimates of liquid-equivalent snow rate against an independent snow gauge and forward-modeled dual-polarization radar variables against actual radar observations, weighed against estimated errors.
- Formulate an adaptive, fully anisotropic multiscale hp-element method using refinement-by-superposition, aiming for exponential convergence in smooth, non-smooth, singular and multiscale electromagnetic problems.
- Develop rigorous multiscale error estimation and adjoint-based sensitivity analysis that automatically refine micro- and macroscale electromagnetic models when parameters are uncertain.
- Build an adaptive local resolution with dimension reduction method that controls deterministic and statistical error together to compute probabilities of rare, high-risk failure events in electromagnetic designs.
- Create adjoint-based similarity indicators and failure-probability-aware dimension reduction to make uncertainty quantification efficient for problems with many uncertain parameters and multiple design objectives.
More about the research
The other thread is computer simulation of electromagnetic fields, where sharp corners, material boundaries and manufacturing imperfections wreck the accuracy of standard methods. The lab builds cameras and instruments for snow, and mathematical methods and error-control schemes for simulation, with artificial intelligence and machine learning used in both.
Why it matters
Better descriptions of snow particles feed directly into weather radar interpretation and numerical forecast models, which could improve predictions of how much snow falls, where and when. That matters for road, rail and especially air travel safety, and for the costs that winter storms impose. On the simulation side, rigorous error control and uncertainty quantification could make designs of electromagnetic devices and systems, including safety-critical and mission-critical ones and biomedical applications, more accurate and more trustworthy while using less computing time.
Known grants
From NIH and NSF research grants. Labs often have other funding we can't see.
Novel AI-Based Multiview Detailed Classification, AI-Enabled 3D Shape Reconstruction, Multicamera Instrumentation, and Comprehensive Analysis & Profiling of Snowflakes and Snowfall
NSF · Apr 2025 – Mar 2028
Revolutionizing Simulation-Based Design: Adaptive Anisotropic Multiscale Computational Methods for Electromagnetics and Engineering
NSF · Aug 2024 – Jul 2027
CDS&E: ECCS: Accurate and Efficient Uncertainty Quantification and Reliability Assessment for Computational Electromagnetics and Engineering
NSF · Jun 2023 – May 2027
Closest labs
Lynn McMurdie
University of Washington, WA·Earth & Environmental Science
Determine how large-scale weather patterns and water vapor transport shape the character of snowfall events over Colorado's Park Range, using a winter-long radar and balloon dataset combined with numerical modeling.
Justin Minder
University at Albany, NY·Earth & Environmental Science
Identify the mechanisms that govern changing temperature and precipitation patterns over the Andes by testing several hypotheses within a single set of high-resolution South American weather simulations.
Michael French
Stony Brook University, NY·Earth & Environmental Science
Establish a firm link between updraft area at middle and low levels and the occurrence of tornadoes and large hail in more than 100 supercells, using an automated algorithm that detects ZDR columns in dual-polarization radar data.
The school
Colorado State University-Fort Collins: 23 labs on PI Pages, $466M a year on research, 276 research doctorates a year.
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