PIPages
Labs

Kevin Schaefer

University of Colorado Boulder, CO·Earth & Environmental Science

Permafrost, the frozen ground of the far north, holds a large store of mercury bound to frozen organic matter. The Arctic is warming two to three times faster than the global average.

Fields

Earth & Environmental Science

Topics

mercury

Hg

permafrost thaw

Grants
1 known grant, through Jul 2027

What they work on

  1. Quantify how different environmental conditions affect mercury accumulation in permafrost-region soils, with uncertainty estimates, by linking mercury pathways to existing models of the land carbon cycle.
  2. Simulate mercury release from thawing permafrost from 1400 to 2300 CE using the SiBCASA land-surface model, enhanced with new pools such as soil water and processes such as fire.
  3. Determine how mercury released from thawing permafrost affects the global mercury cycle using the Global Terrestrial Mercury Model coupled to 3-D atmospheric transport and ocean circulation models.
  4. Estimate uncertainty in permafrost mercury projections with Monte Carlo simulations in a simple global biogeochemical box model.

More about the research

As permafrost thaws, microbes will resume breaking down this organic matter and release the mercury into the environment. Mercury is a toxic element, yet scientists lack process-based models of mercury on land. Such models are needed to predict what thawing permafrost means for the Arctic and global mercury cycles. This collaborative project builds those models by adapting existing models of the land carbon cycle. It treats the carbon and mercury cycles as two linked parts of the Arctic system.

Why it matters

Mercury released from thawing permafrost could add a significant new source of this toxic element to the Arctic and the global environment. Model-based projections of how much mercury may be released, and where it goes, could inform assessments of environmental and human exposure in a warming climate. A public emissions dataset, the models and a visualization tool will give other researchers and decision-makers access to these estimates.

Known grants

From NIH and NSF research grants. Labs often have other funding we can't see.

Collaborative Research: Impacts of Global Change on Terrestrial Mercury in the Arctic

NSF · Aug 2022 – Jul 2027

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The school

University of Colorado Boulder: 36 labs on PI Pages, $718M a year on research, 447 research doctorates a year.

More about University of Colorado Boulder

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