PIPages
Labs

Michael Mueller-Smith

University of Michigan, MI·Social Science·Early-career

Crime carries high social and economic costs in the U.S. Individuals, families and neighborhoods bear these costs in different ways, both directly and indirectly.

Fields

Social Science

Public Health & Epidemiology

Topics

criminal justice

crime

mass incarceration

Grants
1 known grant, through Jun 2029

What they work on

  1. Measure how the risk of criminal justice system (CJS) involvement, including conviction numbers and rates, has changed over recent decades and across local geographies, using nationally linked CJARS records.
  2. Test whether CJS involvement increases household instability for minor children by pairing CJARS records with national survey and administrative data and natural experiments from policy changes.
  3. Estimate how the rise in mass incarceration will affect retirement in the coming decades by linking justice records with national administrative and survey data.
  4. Determine whether CJS involvement affects returns on investment for small business loans to entrepreneurs, using linked administrative records and natural experiments.
  5. Assess how accurate the demographic data collected by criminal justice agencies for operational purposes are, and what poor data quality means for research and policy.

More about the research

Measuring how involvement with the criminal justice system (CJS) affects people's lives requires better data. This project uses the Criminal Justice Administrative Records System (CJARS), a newly available national data repository. CJARS combines criminal justice records from 42 states and the federal government over a long span of time. The project uses it to study how justice involvement shapes the lives of individuals, families and communities.

Why it matters

Better data-based measures of how the justice system affects ordinary people could inform policymakers working on criminal justice and social programs. The work aims to quantify effects on children's household stability and welfare, retirement for people touched by mass incarceration, small-business outcomes and government program costs. It also aims to flag where flawed demographic data in agency records may mislead analyses.

Known grants

From NIH and NSF research grants. Labs often have other funding we can't see.

CAREER: Advancing knowledge on the U.S. Justice System through CJARS

NSF · Jul 2024 – Jun 2029

Closest labs

Shabbar Ranapurwala

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, NC·Public Health & Epidemiology

Examine racial inequities in Medicaid enrollment and in post-release access to MOUD and mental health care among formerly incarcerated people, using North Carolina's 2023 Medicaid expansion and linked records from 2013–2025.

Jennifer Macy

California State University-Dominguez Hills, CA·Social Science

Trace how Nordic incarceration principles such as dignity, normalization and resocialization have been translated into U.S. correctional policy and practice, using archival documents, interviews and observation at several implementation sites.

Meta Brown

Ohio State University, OH·Social Science

Test whether college costs and the resulting educational debt drive student decisions, using causal analyses of population-level administrative data from the State of Ohio.

The school

University of Michigan: 124 labs on PI Pages, $2.1B a year on research, 963 research doctorates a year.

More about University of Michigan

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